Sunday, November 19, 2017

Phyllis - Survey of Hotels in Cupertino and Other Cities


From: D
To: drlum, svaidhyanathan@cupertino.org, dpaul@cupertino.org, bchang@cupertino.org, sscharf@cupertino.org, rsinks@cupertino.org, citycouncil@cupertino.org
CC: davidb@cupertino.org, aartis@cupertino.org, benjaminf@cupertino.org, cityclerk@cupertino.org, cityclerklist@cupertino.org
Sent: 8/13/2017 7:22:42 P.M. Pacific Daylight Time
Subj: Re: August 15, 2017 City of Cupertino City Council Meeting, Agenda Item #16C ...
 
Congratulations Dr. Lum on your mammoth undertaking. I've always felt that individual hotel allocations should not be granted (even though I do not object to the Goodyear or Cup. Village per se) until we have a general allocation for the City as a whole, so that rooms can be allocated fairly and according to objective needs. The hotel allocation of course depends on a general office allocation for Cupertino, which logically should come first. That has to be aligned with community sentiment and certainly cannot be the 3 m. sq. ft that some dreamers have proposed.
 
Phyllis
 
In a message dated 8/13/2017 1:58:21 P.M. Pacific Daylight Time, drlum writes:
                                                Subject:
Consider whether to authorize the formal submission of General Plan amendment
applications for the three proposals received in the 2017 Second Cycle including: 16A
- Hotel at Cupertino Village site; 16B - Hotel at Good Year Tire store site; 16C - Mixed -
use development at the Oaks Shopping Center (16A and authorized at the August 1 City
Council meeting. 16C continued to August 15).

Seems unusual to have 16A, 16B and 16C as one agenda item on August 1, 2017;
seems even more unusual to have 16C this evening, now as one agenda item on
August 15, 2017.
 
City of Cupertino should revise its strategy
    In light of recent retail panel and recent events, Retail Strategy Report dated March 6, 2014, 
and its seven Study Areas:
                                            Study Area #1  Cupertino Inn and Goodyear Tire site > GPA
                                            Study Area #2  City Center site
                                            Study Area #3  PG&E site
                                            Study Area #4  Mirapath site
                                            Study Area #5  Cupertino Village site > GPA
                                            Study Area #6  Vallco Shopping District site
                                            Study Area #7  Stevens Creek Office Center site
       
 should be redone to be more current.
                                            Study Area #8  Oaks > GPA

Notably, the City of Cupertino did request the same entity, Economic & Planning Systems, Inc., 
to review the Fiscal Analysis of the Cupertino Village Boutique Hotel, the Cupertino Hotel, and 
the Westport Cupertino GPA applications; especially the transient occupancy tax based on 
average daily room charge of $300 (Cupertino Village Boutique Hotel and Cupertino Hotel) and 
$200 average daily room charge for the hotel in Westport Cupertino, generating $1,701,630 for 
Cupertino Village Boutique Hotel, $1,434,888 for Cupertino Hotel, and $1,042,440 for the hotel 
in Westport Cupertino, all at 70% occupancy.

   These conclusions are vey optimistic, as to degree of percentage of occupancy due to hotel 
saturation with 8 to 11 hotels in the immediate area of the City of Cupertino (see existing, 
under construction, approved, and GPA) and similiarly others in the market area (see below) 
as well as the daily room charge of $200-300.
    
    The City isn't getting the value from the developers but from the patrons paying the 
transient occupancy tax.  If less than 70% occupancy, then a decrease of transient occupancy tax.    
If developers are confident in these projections, perhaps they would opt to guarantee their
projected hotel occupancy taxes.


                                                   Cupertino Hotels Transient Occupancy Tax

    Transient Occupancy Tax (TOT) =  2017-2018 $ ?                                                       
                                                           2016-2017 $ ?
                                                           2015-2016 $5,852,244 actual
                                                           2014-2015 $ ? 
                                                          June 20, 2013-2014 $4,590,156 actual
                                                                First year for 12% Transient Occupancy Tax 
                                                                and Full Operation of Aloft Hotel                                                                 
                                                          June 30, 2012-June 30, 2013 $3,769,000 for 5 hotels
                                                                 Aloft Hotel opens December 2012
                                                          June 30, 2011-June 30, 2012 $3,112,934
                                                                Transient Occupancy Tax 10% > 12% effective January 1, 2012
                                                                
          Increase or decrease, whether increment linked to hotel coming on line, is + or -.


          Existing
              Aloft Hotel, open December 2012
              Courtyard by Marriott  
              Cupertino Inn > Cupertino Hotel
              Hilton Garden Inn        
              Cypress (Klimpton) > Juniper (Hilton)
              Woodcrest at 5415 Stevens Creek Blvd in City of Santa Clara 

                    Subtotal = 6 hotels
 
          Under construction
              Residence Inn by Marriott in MainStreet Cupertino
                    City stipulate that if hotel includes 160+ rooms, then developer must provide banquet
                    facility for 400 people.  Modified later.
              Hyatt Place
                    Dining area to provide sales tax revenue
                         Note that Hyatt Place, San Jose closes dining area in evening

                    Subtotal = 8 hotels

        Approved
              Marina > Hotel

                    Subtotal = 9 hotels


    All proposals include hotel and consequently hotel tax; All proposals have EPS Fiscal Analysis
          Cupertino Village > GPA > Hotel
          Goodyear site > GPA >Hotel
          Oaks >  GPA > Hotel

                    Total = 12 hotels = Saturation?

      City of Cupertino interested in revenues
           Unfortunately, hotel projects with general plan amendments are generally approved, due to the 
           expectations of high amount of transient occupancy taxes they may generate for the city.

          The City should question the City's apparent practice of rubber-stamping hotel projects with 
          general plan amendments, i.e. the City should not allow developers to exceed zoning regulations
          and/or general plans or specific plans, such as the Cupertino's Heart of the City Specific P

          The City should provide for change of ownership of hotels; development agreements involve only 
           the developer.



      Yet hotel projects proliferate
          North 40 study
              Market Study & Business Opportunities Assessment
              by BAE Urban Economics, August 12, 2011
                    Hotel Market Assessment 
                          Existing Supply    page 89
                          Planned and Proposed Competition  page 91
                          Performance Trends  page 93


Market Area = Cupertino, Atherton, Campbell, Menlo Park, Palo Alto, Santa Clara, San Jose, Saratoga, Los Gatos, Los Altos,
                        Los Altos Hills?
        Cupertino
              11 hotels

        Menlo Park
              Bohannon Development project
                    Menlo Gateway under construction; "completion by the end of 2017"
                           Gateway of Silicon Valley
                           Marriott's Autograph Collection
                                 JW Marriott or Courtyard by Marriott
                                 previously projected to be akin to Marriott Renaissance ClubSport in Walnut Creek
                                 230 rooms > 250 rooms;  May 2015 
                                 Generate $1.2 million in hotel taxes

              Source:
                            by 
                            San Jose Mercury News
                            March 9, 2015


                            Hotel Financing Was Crucial to Getting Larger Project Going
                            by Nathan Donato-Weinstein
                            Silicon Valley Business Journal
                            Page 12
                            April 1, 2016

              Pollock Realty project
                  1400 El Camino Real
                       63 room hotel
                            Subject to public benefit analysis per El Camino Real/Downtown Specific Plan of July 12, 2012,
                                  " confusion over whether the developer was still planning to install a restaurant or meeting
                                  rooms at the hotel." 
                  
                                  "hotel are called out as one recommended (public benefit bonus) option, as such a facility 
                                  'generates higher tax taxes for the City...." 

                                  "...$350 a night in its first year.  The hotel is expected to generate about $8.5 million in
                                  room taxes in its first 10 years."

                  Source:  Plan for Boutique Hotel Advances
                                by  Kevin Kelly
                                The Daily News (Palo Alto)
                                Page 9
                                August 7, 2015

                   Comment: $8.5 million per year or $8.5 million for 10 year period.
      
        Mountain View
              Under construction
                    San Antonio Center, Phase 2
                          Hotel  167 rooms

        Palo Alto
            Proposed
                  San Antonio site:  744 & 750 San Antonio Road
                        El Camino & San Antonio
                            Courtyard by Marriott
                            AC Hotel by Marriott

                        "The hotels would add to the "absolute gridlock" on San Antonio Road"

                  Source:  Council Warm to Hotel Plan
                                by Jacqueline Lee
                                Palo Alto Daily News
                                Page 6
                                December 11,2015

                  Su Hong Restaurant site
                       El Camino & San Antonio
     
        San Bruno
              Proposed
                  Marriott    152 rooms
                        Projected hotel, property and sales taxes per year. = $800,000
                        Total amount in subsidies to be given hotel developer = $3,900,000
                            City-owned land, purchased  in 2012 = $21 per square foot/$ ? in 2015, to
                            developer for $1.00                           
                            Waive building and permit fees
                            No transient occupancy taxes for 2 years

                            " City has refused to release the EPS (Economic & Planning Systems) analysis
                            that produced the $3.9 million figure for the subsidy. ....remains incomplete,
                            exempting the document from public records requests."

                            "The city has used a legal maneuver of calling the study a draft so no one can
                            see it, and yet they use the numbers in the study to justify the subsidy."


                            City > financial incentive
                                3,000 square foot event space for meetings and special occasion
                                After 2 years $800,000 a year in hotel, property and sales taxes.

                            City to sell to the developer for its appraised value of $3.97 million.

                            Referendum
                                Unite Here Local 2
                                  3,000 signatures for referendum on November 2016

                                  OTC to guarantee that workers at the proposed hotel would be able
                                  unionize without fear of retaliation       

                            Lawsuit
                 
                            Court ruled that action by City of San Bruno was admistrative, not subject
                                 to referendum.
                 

      Santa Clara
            Related project  


      San Jose
            Existing
                 Marriott
                       506 rooms
                       Purchased by CARE Global Investors for $83 million

                      Source:  Downtown San Jose Marriott Fetches $83 million
                                     by staff writer
                                    San Jose Mercury News
                                    Page D3
                                    May 21, 2013

                Hilton

                Hyatt Place
                      Closes dining area in evenings

            Proposed Hotels
                  Residence Inn by Marriott.  147 rooms

                  Fairfield Inn & Suites by Marriott.    114 rooms

                  Marriott AC Hotel
                       Stern & Stevens Creek
                       5696 Stevens Creek Boulevard

                       Height 85 feet 

                       Developer "From an economic development perspective for San Jose, our project
                                      would clearly draw tax revenue from Cupertino."

                       Cupertino Mayor:  Heart of the City Specific Plan > Density and height
       
                       Source:  Border War: San Jose and Cupertino
                                      Internal Affairs
                                      by Scott Herhold
                                     San Jose Mercury
                                     July 30, 2017

                1080 South De Anza
                      90 room hotel

                South De Anza and Park
                      86 room hotel

                Almaden Ranch Shopping Center
                     Southeast corner of Almaden Expressway and Cherry Avenue, next to Highway 85, close to public transit
                     Wyndham  115 rooms

                     Source:  New 115-room Hotel Planned in Center
                                   by Julia Baum
                                   San Jose Mercury News
                                   January 15, 2017

                Edenvale
                      Highways 85 and 101

                      Source:  New 115-room Hotel Planned in Center
                                    by Julia Baum
                                    San Jose Mercury News
                                    January 15, 2017

                North San Jose
                     North San Jose
                           Trimble Road & Orchard Parkway
                                 LBA Realty
                                       250-room hotel
                                       near Apple's North San Jose campus and Samsung's campus

                                Source:  San Jose Industrial Site Eyed for Hotel, Retail, Office
                                              by George Avalos
                                              San Jose Mercury News
                                              August 3, 2017
                                            
                       

        San Jose Urban Villages Plan
              70 Urban Villages
                   Cottle Transit Village
                         Lesson in unmet potential
                               "Despite thousands of new homes in the area, light rail ridership from the Cottle station is
                               actually down about 5 percent from two years ago, according to the Valley Transportation Authority
                               (VTA)."
                                    "An elevated walkway drops riders in between the north and southbound lanes of the freeway (85),..."
                                    "VTA officials also accuse Cottle developers of ineffective marketing the station-which developers deny...."

                                    Oaks > Westport/Cupertino
                                          Transit access to between the north and southbound lanes of freeway 85
                                          Access to thousands of De Anza College students.

                                         Terminal for Transit Center
                                              "The transit center will provide the basis for a future connection for rapid 
                                              along State Route 85, 50 onsite parking stalls, and a shuttle drop-off/pick-up area,..."
                                              Located at North end of project
                                              Included in proposal
                                                   Construction of Onsite Transit Center
                                                         Alternative #1  $3.5 million
                                                         Alternative #2  $3.5 million

                                         Transit Center
                                              Located in between the north and southbound lanes of 85 freeway
                                              Not included in proposal
                                                   VTA dependent
                                                         Light rail in median questionable
                                                              Ridership and Cost

                  River Oaks Transit Village
                       "...developers successfully pitched light rail access to potential tenants.  Resident don't face the same 
                      access issues, and ridership has grown 20 percent in two years."

                      Source:  San Jose's Urban Villages Plan Faces Transportation Obstacles
                                     by Chuck Carroll
                                     San Jose Inside
                                     February 24, 2017

                  Branham Transit/Urban Village
                       "In March (2017) the VTA asked San Jose officials to amend the city's General Plan so it could develop a
                       3-acre parcel...."

                       "While the SR 87 corridor study moves forward, VTA is withdrawing the General Plan Amendment application
                       for the property...."

                       Source:  VTA Pulls Plan to Build Near Branham Light Rail
                                      by Julia Baum
                                      San Jose Mercury
                                      Page B10
                                      July 23, 2017

                  Stevens Creek Blvd Urban Village 

                       San Jose Needs Traffic Mitigation in Urban Village Plans
                             "...we believe the corridor (Stevens Creek Boulevard) needs significant transit improvements
                             that are lacking in San Jose's current plan."

                             Source:  San Jose Needs Traffic Mitigation in Urban Village Plans
                                            by Lisa Gillmor, Rod Sinks and Savita Vaidhyanathan
                                            San Jose Mercury News
                                            August 7, 2017 

      Sunnyvale
            Existing 
                Marriott Hotel

            Proposed
                590 West El Camino Real.  84 rooms
                      Degan Development
                            "...plans to sell the project."
                            No restaurant or bar
                            Business travelers
                            Planning documents > luxury hotel of business hospitality

    
                      Source:  Five-story Hotel Coming to El Camino Real in Sunnyvale
                                    by Victoria Kerza
                                    Bay Area News Group
                                    June 1, 2017

                767 North Mathilda Avenue
                     OTO Development
                            Hilton Garden
                                 238 rooms
                 
                     Source:  Sunnyvale:  Hilton Garden Hotel Proposed for Mathilda Avenue
                                   by Victoria Kezra
                                   Bay Area News Group
                                   January 20, 2016

                830 East El Camino
                     Huntington Hotel Group
                           Hilton Homewood Suites
                                130 rooms

                     Source:  Sunnyvale:  130-room Hilton Homewood Suites on El Camino Real Proposed
                                   by Victoria Kezra
                                   Bay Area News Group 
                                   May 4, 2016

                1250 Lakeside Drive
                     Wittek Development
                          Millennium Hotel
                              263 rooms
                
                      Source:  Commission Gets Look at Hotel, Housing Project
                                     by Victoria Kezra
                                     The Sun
                                     Page 5
                                     August 26, 2016
  



Cupertino is in the crosshairs of development... 
      Decreasing future growth and increased competition would limit the amount of hotel taxes going to
      the City.

      Currently, it's one of the largest revenue generators for the City

      


                                                                     Cupertino Sales Tax

Sales Tax    2017-2018 $ ? TBD
                   2016-2017 $ ? TBD
                  June 30, 2015-June 30, 2016 $21,350,056 actual
                   2014-2015                                    unavailable
                   June 30, 2013-June 30, 2014 $19,794,036 actual
                   June 30, 2012-June 30, 2013 $18,721,000 actual
                   June 30, 2011-June 30, 2012 $17,326,460 actual

Retail Sales Analysis:  $799,758,000  2000
                                    $696,060,000  2011
                                      unavailable    2012
                                      unavailable    2013
                                      unavailable    2014
                                      unavailable    2015
                                      unavailable    2016
                                            TBD.        2017

We have ceased our record of businesses leaving Cupertino altho the City of Cupertino 
continues to publiciize only new businesses.
             

Top 40 Sales Tax Producers                                            Top 40 Sales Tax Producers
     3rd Q/2016                                                                      1st Q/2013

          Gas Stations  Decrease due to Electric Vehicles.  
                Chevron Service Stations                                  Chevron Service Stations
                Rotten Robbie Service Stations                        Rotten Robbie Service Stations
                Shell Service Stations                                       Shell Service Stations
                Valero Service Stations                                     Union 76 Service Station
                                                                                          US Gas Service Station
                                                                                          Valero Service Station


          Grocery Stores. No sales tax on food; sales tax only on non-food 
               Ranch 99 Markets                                            Marina
               Safeway                                                            Ranch 99 Market
               Whole Foods market                                        Whole Foods


          Nonexistent as of August 2017
                Granite Rock                                                   Elephant Bar 
                J. C. Penney closed April 2016                       Granite Rock
                                                                                        JC Penney closed April 2016
                                                                                        Macy's closed April 5, 2015
          Restaurants
                Alexander's                                                     Alexander's
                Benihana                                                         Benihana
                BJ's                                                                 BJ's
                Dynasty                                                           Dynasty
                Lazy Dog                                                                          
                Park Place in Cypress Hotel


              Apple Campus 2 construction related sales tax due to point of sale in Apple Development Agreement: 

                                                                                          Frener & Reifer
                                                                                          Goodfellow Top Grade Construction ?   
                                                                                          Mitsubishi Consumer Electronic ? 
                                                                                          Permasteelisa
                                                                                          Powersecure ?  
                                                                                          Rosendin Electric
                                                                                          Seele
                                                                                          Superior Air Handling
                                                                                          Teknion


              Total amount of sales taxes per quarter should be disclosed for comparison purposes with
              other quarters; unable to determine trend of sales tax revenues                    

              Will restaurant in the Oaks, Cupertino Village or North De Anza sites make the list?

              Will restaurant in Hyatt Place make the list?
                   Free breakfast; Sales tax ???  State's  pos

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